Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 5.978600 6.819486 7.747138 8.848228 10.121886 11.551608 13.281995
2025-05-25 4.777067 5.850143 7.128440 8.770044 10.831759 13.347648 16.669144
2025-06-01 4.008995 5.168845 6.630014 8.618620 11.274103 14.725150 19.594132
2025-06-08 3.451259 4.637098 6.199804 8.429263 11.559740 15.845404 22.236813
2025-06-15 3.205915 4.468514 6.200662 8.779003 12.568130 18.008198 26.547171
2025-06-22 2.930759 4.217021 6.044434 8.867548 13.186355 19.654198 30.282015
2025-06-29 2.663166 3.941632 5.815359 8.807891 13.554360 20.939696 33.592894
2025-07-06 2.425685 3.683180 5.579044 8.700393 13.818403 22.068309 36.763243
2025-07-13 2.310280 3.597278 5.592469 8.977775 14.715250 24.296751 42.045648
2025-07-20 2.191161 3.492141 5.561854 9.173617 15.487590 26.389195 47.347965
2025-07-27 2.112780 3.443975 5.615603 9.510439 16.529236 29.052192 54.031238
2025-08-03 1.942257 3.227109 5.368344 9.299511 16.570657 29.915913 57.398154
2025-08-10 1.801452 3.051108 5.178849 9.178518 16.774167 31.122049 61.649702
2025-08-17 1.677814 2.894474 5.009206 9.076004 16.999171 32.390897 66.202867
2025-08-24 1.558153 2.734754 4.819821 8.916509 17.093192 33.405458 70.349172
2025-08-31 1.444999 2.577576 4.621551 8.719769 17.089270 34.214544 74.148461
2025-09-07 1.417066 2.574528 4.707051 9.082650 18.255877 37.579188 84.181635
2025-09-14 1.356261 2.504655 4.659893 9.174532 18.865021 39.821004 91.930580
2025-09-21 1.281974 2.403178 4.543342 9.112624 19.136392 41.347552 98.175642
2025-09-28 1.208140 2.297057 4.409217 9.001071 19.285710 42.612183 103.951999
2025-10-05 1.182694 2.284586 4.460712 9.288923 20.359340 46.139642 116.080317
2025-10-12 1.149690 2.254281 4.473152 9.492175 21.259631 49.363138 127.925430
2025-10-19 1.132346 2.254563 4.548559 9.841774 22.541603 53.676441 143.476430